Monday, April 30, 2012

Here's Why Google and Facebook Might Completely Disappear in the Next 5 Years

We think of Google and Facebook as Web gorillas.  They’ll be around forever. Yet, with the rate that the tech world is moving these days, there are good reasons to think both might be gone completely in 5 – 8 years.  And there’s some academic theory to back up that view, along with casual observations from recent history.


Read the full Forbes post

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Thursday, April 26, 2012

How To Save Yahoo!

What 1 thing would you do to save Yahoo!'s core business? Here's a to do list for Scott Thompson.

Read the full post on Forbes

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New Video: Tech Talk

Here's my quick hit on Apple, Yahoo, Facebook and other tech names on BNN yesterday


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Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Why Facebook-Microsoft Patent News Isn't a 'Disaster' for Yahoo!

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Earlier Monday,Microsoft(MSFT_) announced that it would basically split the patents it had recently bought from AOL(AOL_) with Facebook. Facebook will pay roughly half the costs to get their hands on them.


Immediately, the pundit-sphere started cackling thatYahoo!(YHOO_) was about to have its head handed to it by Facebook because of this news.

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Monday, April 23, 2012

Why I'm Sick of All The Pundits Barking "Steve Jobs Wouldn't Have Done This"

It was inevitable that, upon Steve Jobs‘ death — after the requisite outpouring of emotion — the second-guessing would begin.


Read the full Forbes post

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Why The Next Shoe To Drop Post-Instagram Is Apple Buying Twitter for $10 Billion

The logic for Apple buying Twitter here.

Read the full post on Forbes

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Thursday, April 19, 2012

New Rumor: Facebook Seeking Local Partner To Enter Mainland China


Mainland China is usually never short on rumors in tech.  However, Marbridge Daily is usually very reliable.  It reported that Bank of America (BAC) would be unloading its stake in CCB several months before it happened last year.
Now, this morning, it’s reporting (via DoNews) that Facebook is preparing to enter the Mainland Chinese market through a joint venture with a local partner.

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Wednesday, April 18, 2012

The Power of Millennial Zuck


According to the Wall Street Journal, Facebook (FB) CEO Mark Zuckerberg called an audible on making the $1 billion acquisition of Instagram last week (which will actually be worth $1.3 billion if Facebook IPOs at a $100 billion valuation).
He didn’t involve his board at all in the negotiations until it was time to rubber-stamp it.  According to the Journal, on the morning of Sunday, April 8th, Zuckerberg first notified them that he would be buying the hot photo-sharing site.  They announced the deal the next day.

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Ho Hum Earnings from Yahoo! But Lots of Reason for Excitement

I think the honeymoon with Yahoo! (YHOO) CEO Scott Thompson is over after last night’s performance on the earnings call.  It’s been a good 90 day run, but it’s over now.  Back to work, Scott.  Time to stop talking and start delivering.


Read the full Post on Forbes

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Yahoo's Thompson `Still Too Vague,' Jackson Says

April 18 (Bloomberg) – Eric Jackson, president and founder of Ironfire Capital LLC, talks about Yahoo! Inc.'s first-quarter sales and company outlook. Revenue, excluding sales passed on to partner sites, rose 1 percent to $1.08 billion, Sunnyvale, California-based Yahoo said in a statement yesterday. Jackson speaks with Betty Liu on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop.” (Source: Bloomberg)





[Long YHOO]

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Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Video: Why Yahoo! is the New AOL and Google is the Old Microsoft



My hit from earlier today talking about Yahoo! and why Google is like Microsoft in 1999

[Long YHOO and AAPL]

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What Yahoo! Could Do to Soothe Investors' Nerves


NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Yahoo!(YHOO_) will report its earnings this afternoon.
You shouldn't expect much in terms of the actual results. Investors will care about what the company says about its future.
This will be the first earnings call for Scott Thompson, the new CEO, since he's been in the seat for a full quarter. From now on, he owns all the results.
We have had an announcement of 2,000 job cuts two weeks ago and a company-wide reorganization last week.

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Monday, April 16, 2012

It's Official: Google Today Is Just Where Microsoft Was in 1999


Google (GOOG) looks a lot more vulnerable to the accusation that it’s become the new Microsoft (MSFT) today compared to even a year ago.

Several people have said that Google’s co-founders, Larry Pageand Sergey Brin, have sought to build their company so that it wouldn’t make the mistakes that Microsoft did in the 1990s.
Well, surprise, Google today seems a heck of a lot similar to where Microsoft was right in 1999 – the year after Google was founded.

Read the full post in Forbes

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Why Yahoo! Needs Dan Loeb On Its Board Now

Tomorrow, Yahoo! (YHOO) will announce its latest quarterly earnings.  Presumably new CEO, Scott Thompson, will finally unveil some of the details behind his new strategy for turning around the core business of the Internet pioneer.


Read the full post on Forbes

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Friday, April 13, 2012

Google's Paranoid Governance Structure Has Made It Less Innovative, Not More

Here's why the anti-shareholder governance structure of Google has led to a flat share price in the last 5 years and no "innovations" to show for it.

Read the Forbes post

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Thursday, April 12, 2012

Google Growth `Decelerating,' Jackson Says

April 12 (Bloomberg) -- Eric Jackson, president and founder of Ironfire Capital LLC, talks about Google Inc.'s first-quarter profit that topped analysts' estimates. Jackson speaks with Adam Johnson, Deirdre Bolton and Jon Erlichman on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." Howard Ward, portfolio manager at Gamco Investors Inc., also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)

[I don't own GOOG]

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Hypocritical Yahoo! Says Icahn Fit to Serve as Director But Loeb Isn't

Here are all the ways that Yahoo! and Scott Thompson are being hypocritical and disingenuous in not inviting Dan Loeb to join the board immediately.

Read the full Forbes post

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Wednesday, April 11, 2012

CNBC Video: How do Activist Investors Help Companies?

My CNBC appearance from earlier this afternoon discussing activist investors and Yahoo!



[Long YHOO]

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Yahoo Should Cut More Jobs, Ironfire's Jackson Says


April 10 (Bloomberg) -- Eric Jackson, president and founder of Ironfire Capital LLC, talks about the outlook for Yahoo! Inc. He speaks with Emily Chang on Bloomberg Television's "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)



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Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Facebook-Instagram: Here Comes the Flood


NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- "Kodak Goes Bankrupt and Instagram is worth a Billion Dollars. 2012, y'all"
That was a tweet from @benhjacobs that I retweeted Monday and immediately got hundreds of retweets from my followers.
For some reason, it seemed to capture the sense of awe from many over the significant milestone.
But it also gets at something else that's amazing in this story. How a small little photo application can be worth so much more -- in such a short time -- compared to an American icon. It says just how important "mobile" is in the business world today.

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Sunday, April 08, 2012

5 Lessons from Mike Wallace's Life for All of Us

The world has lost a giant in Mike Wallace.  He was fearless.  Let's hope we can all learn from how he lived his life to improve our own.

Read the full post on Forbes

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Thursday, April 05, 2012

The Case for Why The New York Times Will Disappear As We Know It By 2015


The New York Times (NYT) is arguably the most respected newspaper in the world with some fantastic journalists and editors.
Yet, it’s a financial basket-case with a business model that appears woefully mismatched for the iPad era.
Looking back at some historical trends in the Times’ own financial disclosures, the following presentation is my case for why I don’t see the Times existing as a stand-alone entity as we know it today after 2015.  Other traditional newspapers will face a similar fate even earlier.

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Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Why Sarah Lacy and Andrew Ross Sorkin Are Both Wrong about the JOBS Act and Groupon

Sarah Lacy recently attacked Andrew Ross Sorkin for being too "Wall Street-minded" in attacking the JOBS Act and Groupon. Here's why they're both wrong and why Lacy needs to be less "Silicon Valley-minded."

Read the full post on Forbes

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Two Things That Must Happen Before Yahoo! Can Be Acquired

Today's 2000 job cuts at Yahoo! are a necessary first step.  If any buyer is going to buy the company longer-term, they need to cut more and also present more clarity around their Alibaba stake.

Read the full post on Forbes

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Monday, April 02, 2012

Justification for how Apple can get to $1,650/share by 2015

This is a presentation from March 15th at the Apple Investor Conference in LA about the next growth areas for Apple. It led to a later Forbes article I wrote on why I think Apple’s stock is going to $1,650 by the end of 2015. I don’t think Apple can keep growing at 90% a year, but 60% seems doable.





[Long AAPL]

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