Showing posts with label Timothy Geithner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Timothy Geithner. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 03, 2010

Brooksley Born Should Be In, Geithner Should Be Out

By Eric Jackson02/03/10 - 06:00 AM EST


Stock quotes in this article: JPM , AIG , BAC

When Scott Brown won Ted Kennedy's senate seat a few weeks ago, it was a shot across the bow of President Obama from independent voters. Two days later, the president responded by announcing the "Volcker Rule" which will put more restrictions on commercial banks to get out of investing activities and focus more on lending money to their customers.

The president's response showed that he's done a poor job in his first year in office of keeping the support of "independents" -- so-called because they don't permanently define themselves as Republicans or Democrats.

The president understands that, unless he starts winning back these independents and fast, he will face a 1994-style rebuke from voters at this fall's mid-term elections. From a financial reform perspective, he must show voters that he's not a toady to Wall Street -- and I expect he will replace secretary Geithner with Brooksley Born, the former head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission who sounded the alarm on credit default swaps long before the housing crisis swallowed the economy.


Brooksley Born
Brooksley Born, former chairwoman of the Commodities Futures Trading Commission

Why replace Geithner? Although it's now common to Monday morning quarterback the dark days of September 2008, questioning how government officials forced a shotgun marriage of Bear Stearns withJPMorgan Chase(JPM Quote), let Lehman Brothers go under, swooped in to rescue AIG(AIG Quote), and then forced through Bank of America's(BAC Quote) purchase of Merrill Lynch, the fact is -- at that time -- the financial world was careening out of control. I don't fault Geithner's crisis decisions (although they certainly were not all perfect).

[This post is an excerpt of the full article, which available on TheStreet.com by clicking here. Free Site.]

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Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Volcker Rule Would Make Banks Be Banks

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Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Benmosche Bests Pandit

08/26/09 - 09:07 AM EDT

C , AIG , MET , WFC

By Eric Jackson

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The federal government is running some of America's largest and formerly most influential companies, including Citigroup, AIG(AIG Quote), Bank of America(BAC Quote) and GM.

The track record of government managing -- let alone turning companies around -- businesses is poor. Still, it's calling the tune at the moment, sitting in on internal meetings, pushing out CEOs (like GM's Rick Wagoner), CFOs (like Citigroup's Ned Kelly) and directors (see the reconstitution of the Bank of America board since its April shareholders meeting), and determining whether prearranged pay packages should still be treated as valid contracts.

Yet, the government, with all the best intentions, will never turn around these companies. It's the companies themselves and their employees who must turn things around. AIG and its new CEO Robert Benmosche get that, while Citigroup and its CEO Vikram Pandit don't. Both companies are extreme corporate basket-cases now controlled by the government on behalf of taxpayers. Yet, the styles of Benmosche and Pandit couldn't be more different.

Pandit's been the quintessential invisible CEO: quiet, passive, and immediately forgettable when he does speak. Benmosche is on the other end of the spectrum: straight-talking, aggressive, asking challenging questions, and lots of slaps on the back. Benmosche doesn't suffer fools gladly; Pandit appears to suffer fools for years without saying boo.

As horrible as AIG has been as an investment since last fall, Citigroup has been worse. AIG's stock price is 15% higher than Citigroup's since the government took over the company. When the market learned of Benmosche's hiring and digested some of his positive comments on the company, it responded positively, sending up AIG's stock by 35% last week (and still higher this week).

Although I've yet to meet with a Pandit apologist (maybe the only ones are Citigroup's directors who hired him), if I did, they'd likely say he is just one man and certainly didn't cause Citigroup to be the unmitigated disaster it is today. They'd also say one person -- even the CEO -- isn't responsible for a company's stock price.

Certainly there are many people who also deserve blame for Citigroup's current state of affairs: John Reed, Sandy Weill, the entire board, including Dick Parsons and Bob Rubin and Chuck Prince. Yet, Pandit's been in the corner office for almost two years during the crisis. Citigroup's stock price fell in lockstep with Bank of America's from the fall through the March lows. Yet, since then, Bank of America is up 90% more than Citigroup. Yes, assets and past underperforming loans matter, but so does leadership. Pandit's been a dud as CEO, and that affects investors' interest in the company.

Recall that back in early October last year Citigroup was trading at $23.50 after the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. backed it to buy Wachovia over a competing offer from Wells Fargo(WFC Quote). Five months later, Citigroup's shares touched 97 cents. It's been a breathtaking evisceration of the former king of the American financial world. Pandit has done little to inspire investor confidence.

Pandit's response to being owned by the government since taking TARP money has been to shrink back even further from public scrutiny and contact with staff. The introverted, bookish professor has become even more bookish.

When he has spoken up, it's irked regulators and peers alike. Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase(JPM Quote) called Pandit a "jerk" under his breath on a conference call with Treasury last fall. Lloyd Blankfein has joked that Citigroup was crazy. One business journalist summed it up to me this way: "I've never seen a Wall Street CEO who gets punked that often."

Where is the leadership going to come from? Sheila Bair is not going to turn this company around. Neither is Tim Geithner or Ben Bernanke. Did Citigroup also sign an addendum to receiving its TARP funding that it had to manage its affairs as if no one were really in charge?

Contrast Pandit's style with Benmosche's, the former head of MetLife(MET Quote) and new head of AIG. If any company is a ward of the state more than Citigroup, it's AIG -- it's actually a $182.5 billion ward.

Yet, here was Benmosche coming out swinging last week. He said in an internal town hall meeting that he sees the government as only one of several critical stakeholders -- the others being clients in the U.S., Asia, and Europe; employees, and then "the people we owe money to" (otherwise known as the government).

Benmosche said undoubtedly AIG would have to sell some of its businesses to pay back the government but ruled out an imminent sale for its investment advisory business and said other asset sales could wait until the company received full value. "I don't liquidate things; I build things," he said. "If the government wanted this money back quick, they shouldn't have come in in the first place."

Benmosche even had the nerve to suggest his management team should have the flexibility to pay its employees more if they've just "shot the lights out" in a given year.

Financial blogger Barry Ritholtz called him "totally absurd" to think he's going to pay back the government "in our lifetime." Maybe. But, if you worked for AIG (or were a stockholder), you cheered last week. It's clear who's in charge at this company. It's not the regulators but actually the AIG and its employees. This is quite a contrast in styles from his caretaker predecessor, Ed Liddy, and of course Pandit.

Benmosche finished an employee town hall meeting recently, warning: "My fear is that you'll say, 'I don't know if Treasury wants it, I don't know if the Fed wants it, I don't know if the lawyers want it, I don't know whatever.' If you sit there every day not making the right decisions to take us to the next level, we'll miss an opportunity."

And, he's exactly right. I'm for leaders who see the facts clearly and don't lead their organizations off a cliff. Both Citigroup and AIG went over the cliff a long time ago. They're down in the valley -- but they're still going concerns and they still need leaders. They're not going to be shut down and shouldn't be led by CEOs who would be suited for winding down companies -- like Pandit.

Ask yourself, if you were working in the bowels of one of these companies, who would your dig deeper for: Benmosche or Pandit? That hidden effort will start to show itself in the operating results and stock price in the coming quarters.

The government would be wise to get out of the way of these companies as quick as it can -- assuming there are competent management and directors. The government and taxpayers deserve the best long-term return on their investment, but they aren't suited to micromanage the businesses. They should get the right managers, get the right risk management and get out of the way.

The CEOs of Citigroup and AIG should push back on government requests when they are unreasonable or at odds with the long-term interests of the business. Benmosche appears well-suited to do that; Pandit doesn't.

We got into the current mess by too many people at AIG, Citigroup, and other firms playing fast and loose with other people's money with poor or no risk management. To fix that, we've needed government intervention.

We've got to get back to a true free market system. To heal these firms and our economy, leaders and employees at AIG and Citigroup need to treat assets they oversee as if it's their own money and -- with proper risk oversight -- start making free choices again on how to grow those assets.

-- Written by Eric Jackson in Naples, Fla.

At the time of publication, Jackson had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Eric Jackson is founder and president of Ironfire Capital and the general partner and investment manager of Ironfire Capital US Fund LP and Ironfire Capital International Fund, Ltd.

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Thursday, July 09, 2009

Minding the New York Fed

07/09/09 - 08:59 AM EDT

BAC , MS , GS , AIG , PEP , C , GE

Eric Jackson

We were all riveted last fall by the economic meltdown, which pulled down Lehman (now absorbed into Barclays (BCS Quote)) and Merrill (now part of Bank of America (BAC Quote) and forced many of us to consider the previously inconceivable outcome of a total collapse of the capital markets.

Through it all, then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, and then-head of the New York Fed Tiimothy Geithner, tried to orchestrate an acceptable soft landing for all market participants. Many of the most pivotal planning sessions during that dark time happened at the offices of the New York Fed.

Yet, who was watching over the New York Fed at the time? As it turns out, many of the market actors were central in the drama playing out, including Lehman head Dick Fuld, who was a New York Fed director then.

Did Dick Fuld really deserve to have a say on whether BofA should buy Merrill, or on the fates of AIG(AIG Quote), Morgan Stanley (MS Quote) and Goldman Sachs (GS Quote)?

The board of directors of the New York Fed was poorly composed then, and it remains highly problematic today. Changes need to be made.

The New York Fed is basically the on-the-ground interface between Wall Street's biggest banks and the Federal Reserve. It plays part policy adviser, part diplomat and part message-runner between the two sometimes very different worlds. The bank plays a critical role in how policy is set and implemented.

During several critical moments last year (with the downfall of Bear and Lehman, the shotgun marriage between Merrill and BofA and later the pressuring of BofA to follow through with the merger) and no doubt in the future, the New York Fed has and will play a critical role in real-time decisions that can have ramifications on our markets and the broader economy for years.

It's reasonable to better understand who ultimately was responsible for directing and judging if Geithner was doing his job effectively last year. That responsibility falls on the New York Fed's board of directors.

That group is divided into three classes of directors three Class A directors who are from member banks and who are elected by member banks; three Class B directors who are elected by member banks to represent the interests of the public, and three Class C directors who are elected by the New York Fed's board of governors (who are all appointed by the president) to represent the interests of the public.

The Class A directors have been problematic in the last eight months. First, Fuld was one of them last fall when his firm became the focal point of concern for the entire U.S. financial system. Later, Stephen Freidman, then-chairman of the New York Fed and formerly with Goldman Sachs(GS Quote), was forced to resign amid revelations that he had purchased stock in his old firm -- raising questions about his impartiality overseeing the entire financial system.

There's no evidence that either Fuld or Friedman took any actions that benefitted either of those firms in their New York Fed roles, but, in matters of corporate governance, appearances count.
Currently, three of the nine seats on the New York Fed's board are vacant. It's not clear when they will be filled. Of the current directors, all three Class A directors are in place representing the interests of the member banks.

Jeff Immelt of General Electric(GE Quote) is the only Class B director. His job is to represent the public in that role. However, it's clear that his day job of overseeing GE Finance also makes him sympathetic to the needs of the member banks. Only two of the three Class C seats are filled (Lee Bollinger, the president of Columbia University, and Denis Hughes, the president of the New York State AFL-CIO).

Based on this composition, you could fairly make the case that the current board of the New York Fed is more weighted to look out for the interests of the bankers than the interests of the taxpayers and the broader economy. That needs to be immediately corrected. That means getting more experienced business executives like Pepsi(PEP Quote) CEO Indra Nooyi back on the board as Class B directors and replacing Jeff Immelt with another business executive who runs a company not as financially dependent as GE Finance.

Additionally, the open Class C position should be quickly filled with a director who is business savvy but will represent taxpayers first and foremost. Ideally, the Class C director should be someone who knows something about corporate governance and can bring that perspective to the New York Fed's board. Ira Millstein of the law firm Weil Gotshal & Manges would be fit the bill nicely.

There have been other bothersome governance issues cropping up at the New York Fed recently. It was recently reported that former New York Fed President Geithner advised the current board members to select his former lieutenant, William Dudley, as his replacement.

Although this happens a lot in companies (think Citigroup's(C Quote), Sandy Weill telling his board to replace him with then general counsel Chuck Prince), it is always a bad idea. Former CEOs and presidents can have cloudy judgment on these kinds of issues, affected by legacy or loyalty.

It's also been reported that it was due to Geithner's strong advice about hiring Dudley that former Class B director Nooyi recently stepped down from the board entirely. Take all these incidents together and you can't blame her.

The New York Fed plays a critical role in the healthy functioning of our capital markets. In my view, member danks deserve to have a seat at the table of the board of directors, but the majority of views should be separate from Wall Street and ensure that Wall Street's actions are serving the interests of the entire economy. The Federal Reserve and the U.S. government should immediately take steps to ensure that this organization's governance matches the standards they wish to see implemented in the big Wall Street banks they oversee.

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